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Will a ceasefire hold in Eastern Europe through August?

Resolves YES if the current ceasefire in the conflict region holds through August 31, 2026.

YES
31¢
NO
69¢
Price — YES probability
06-2006-2707-0407-1107-180255075100
Volume
44,800
Liquidity
$70000.00
Resolves
2026-08-31
Market rules & resolution
Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the current ceasefire in the conflict region holds through August 31, 2026.

Authoritative source

Source verification pending

Rules version
v1
Environment
SIMULATION
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simulation
Price31¢
Cost$3.10
Commission (1%)$0.03
Total$3.13
Balance$0.00
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Your Guess · Forecasting simulation · Practice credits only · No cash value